Прогнозування ризику настання банкрутства на підприємстві
Вантажиться...
Дата
2022
Назва журналу
Номер ISSN
Назва тому
Видавець
Анотація
Робота присвячена прогнозуванню ризику настання банкрутства на підприємстві України,досліджено факторні моделі оцінки ризику банкрутства підприємства, аналіз стадій та методів прогнозування економічного процесу, проблеми банкрутства підприємств на території України, також авторами визначенні рекомендації, щодо подолання банкрутства на підприємствах. Своєчасний розрахунок ризиків банкрутства допомагає уникнути критичних ситуацій, коли єдиним виходом буде ліквідація підприємства та виплата боргів. Крім тогорівень банкрутства підприємства є одним із найбільш розповсюджених індикаторів реального стану економіки будь-якої держави. Банкрутство підприємств є макроекономічною проблемою, це призводить до маси негативних наслідків не тільки для підприємства та його працівників, а й для держави і суспільства. При написанні роботи використовувалися методи системного підходу, методи статистичного, економіко-фінансового аналізу та структурного аналізу, сучасні методи імовірного моделювання та прогнозування фінансового стану.
Today, specialists are developing many models necessary for predicting the risk of bankruptcy of an organization. As a rule, as a result of forecasting, relevant recommendations are formed in order to improve the quality of forecasting, and even increase its effectiveness. The purpose of the article is to research forecasting the risk of bankruptcy at the enterprise. Factor models for assessing the risk of enterprise bankruptcy, analysis of the stages and methods of forecasting the economic process, the problem of enterprise bankruptcy on the territory of Ukraine, as well as the authors' definition of recom-mendations for overcoming enterprise bankruptcy were studied. In modern conditions, one of the most urgent and important tasks for any enterprise is the timely diagnosis of the probability of bankruptcy.The attention of scientists all over the world is increasingly focused on finding ways and methods to overcome the bankruptcy of enterprises. They increasingly analyze existing methods and describe their advantages and disadvantages. And also, scientists are trying to find modern ways to overcome problems. It is necessary to be aware of the risks in order to respond effectively to them. After having identified a weak spot or deficiency, it is important to take certain measures and develop strategies that will help to avoid problems in the future. At the same time, the enterprise can choose a strategy of avoiding or reducing risks, transferring or accepting them. Timely calculation of bankruptcy risks helps to avoid critical situations when the only way out will be liquidation of the enterprise and payment of debts. In addition, the level of bankruptcy of an enterprise is one of the most common indicators of the real state of the economy of any country. Bankruptcy of enterprises is a macroeconomic problem, it leads to a lot of negative consequences not only for the enterprise and its employees, but also for the state and society. While writing the work, the methods of the system approach, methods of statisti-cal, economic and financial analysis, quantitative and structural analysis, expert analysis and modern methods of probabilistic modeling and forecasting of the financial state were used.
Today, specialists are developing many models necessary for predicting the risk of bankruptcy of an organization. As a rule, as a result of forecasting, relevant recommendations are formed in order to improve the quality of forecasting, and even increase its effectiveness. The purpose of the article is to research forecasting the risk of bankruptcy at the enterprise. Factor models for assessing the risk of enterprise bankruptcy, analysis of the stages and methods of forecasting the economic process, the problem of enterprise bankruptcy on the territory of Ukraine, as well as the authors' definition of recom-mendations for overcoming enterprise bankruptcy were studied. In modern conditions, one of the most urgent and important tasks for any enterprise is the timely diagnosis of the probability of bankruptcy.The attention of scientists all over the world is increasingly focused on finding ways and methods to overcome the bankruptcy of enterprises. They increasingly analyze existing methods and describe their advantages and disadvantages. And also, scientists are trying to find modern ways to overcome problems. It is necessary to be aware of the risks in order to respond effectively to them. After having identified a weak spot or deficiency, it is important to take certain measures and develop strategies that will help to avoid problems in the future. At the same time, the enterprise can choose a strategy of avoiding or reducing risks, transferring or accepting them. Timely calculation of bankruptcy risks helps to avoid critical situations when the only way out will be liquidation of the enterprise and payment of debts. In addition, the level of bankruptcy of an enterprise is one of the most common indicators of the real state of the economy of any country. Bankruptcy of enterprises is a macroeconomic problem, it leads to a lot of negative consequences not only for the enterprise and its employees, but also for the state and society. While writing the work, the methods of the system approach, methods of statisti-cal, economic and financial analysis, quantitative and structural analysis, expert analysis and modern methods of probabilistic modeling and forecasting of the financial state were used.
Опис
Ключові слова
прогнозування, ризик, моделі Е. Альтмана, банкрутство підприємства, моделі прогнозування ймовірності банкрутства, методи оцінки, forecasting, risk, E. Altman's models, enterprise bankruptcy, bankruptcy probability fore-casting models, assessment methods
Бібліографічний опис
Волкова Н. Прогнозування ризику настання банкрутства на підприємстві [Текст] / Н. Волкова, О. Степанко // Цифрова економіка та економічна безпека : науково-практичний журнал / Причорноморський науково-дослідний інститут економіки та інновацій, Сумський державний педагогічний університет імені А. С. Макаренка ; [гол. ред. О. Ю. Кудріна, редкол.: В. В. Божкова, В. І. Борщ, Н. М. Вдовенко та ін.]. – 2022. – № 2 (02). – С. 173–178. – DOI: https://doi.org/10.32782/dees.2-29